Currency Analysis 31 May
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EUR/USD
Weekly Trend direction: Bullish
Weekly trend reversal level: 1.2143
Key G7 support levels: 1.2250, 1.2210/20, 1.2150
Counter-trend opportunities:
Strategy: Whilst above the weekly trend reversal level buy dips to support levels after an entry signal.
Today’s trade suggestion:
Lots of traders have been struggling through the tough market conditions over the past few months, but G7 has done well. This week we retain the bullish direction, despite calls from the newspapers for the euro’s imminent demise. There are some key levels below us, starting at the 1.2250 Fibonacci support, with the 786 support perhaps even more important below us at 1.2210/20. Watch and wait for dips before buying the euro after a
clear g7 entry signal. The target for rallies is 1.2450 to start with, and then 1.2600 later this week. If we fall below the weekly reversal level at 1.2150, the bullish scenario is put on ice!
Summary:
Buy dips to supports at 1.2250 or 1.2210/20 after a clear G7 signal. Short term target 1.2450 and then 1.2600
GBP/USD
Weekly Trend direction: Bullish
Weekly trend reversal level: 1.4220
Key G7 support levels: 1.4420, 1.4380, 1.4300
Counter-trend opportunities:
Strategy: Whilst above the weekly trend reversal level buy dips to support levels after an entry signal
Today’s trade suggestion:
Messy in extremis for over two weeks, as we see a potential bottoming process begin to unfold. We’ve had two weekly doji candles on the weekly 786 level and this means we are either bottoming or just “pausing†before another leg downwards. In any event, the G7 system remains long as we are above the weekly reversal level at 1.4220, and we’ll continue to buy into dips. As we have already dipped to two of these supports in the last few
hours, we may not get another signal for the next day or two. Watch and wait for a clear G7 signal before buying Sterling with eyes on 1.4600 and then 1.4850.
Summary:
Buy dips to supports after a clear entry signal. Target 1.4600 then 1.4850.
USD/JPY
Weekly Trend direction: Bullish
Weekly trend reversal level: 89.20
Key G7 support levels: 90.50, 90.20, 89.90
Counter-trend opportunities:
Strategy: Whilst above the weekly trend reversal level buy dips to support levels after an entry signal
Today’s trade suggestion:
Dragging itself higher every day, and just about holding above the top of the downward weekly trendline. The dollar is barely bullish whilst above the weekly reversal level at 89.20, and we’ll look to buy into dips to key support levels listed above. Be careful of key resistance levels overhead between 91.50 and 93.50. The huge “spike low†at the beginning of May is still going to have a marked influence over this pair during June. It’ll be interesting to see if the dollar tries to reach towards the magical 100 level in the coming weeks – perhaps with a
bit of “encouragement†from the Bank of Japan.
Summary:
Buy dips to 90.50 or 90.20/89.90 after a clear entry signal only. Target 91.40/50 and then perhaps 92-50-93.50
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